The Big Problem with Searching for New Trees
http://www.unspace.net/2018/05/05/the-big-problem-with-searching-for-new-trees/
We only know of one Tree of Life: Earth. That’s a single data point. Thermodynamics, chemistry, biology, and astronomy help us to put some limits on what to look for and what might be possible. But beyond that, astrobiology a lot of guesswork.
We don’t even know exactly how life began on Earth. Did life begin in warm tidal pools that underwent periodic drying? Or did life start at the bottom of the oceans around “grey smokers” where dissolved chemicals passed over porous rock? Or is it some combination? We don’t know. And there’s the possibility life didn’t begin on Earth….
In these posts, I’ll try to point out the gaps in our knowledge, and where we’re guessing. I’ll mention in passing some of the oddball possibilities, but the further we get from the data point we know, the less we can reliably say.
You’ll notice all the lines in the graph above are straight lines. I got tired of working in Photoshop, and so I left out parabolas, hyperbolas, sine waves, and some bizarre graphs. I’d like to think the drawing gets across the main point:
Scientists are doing the best they can with very limited data. If anything, it’s amazing what they have accomplished with so little information.
